4. Количественные методы в историческом исследовании (551948), страница 31
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ùÚÓ – ‡ÁÏÂ˚ ÁÂÏΉÂθ˜ÂÒÍÓ„Ó ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡ Ë ÒÓ·ÒÚ‚ÂÌÌ˚ ÚÛ‰Ó‚˚ ÂÒÛÒ˚.íÂÚËÈ Ù‡ÍÚÓ: 1) ÔÓ‰ÛÍÚË‚Ì˚È ÒÍÓÚ Ì‡ ‰Û¯Û (0,35) Ë ‰‚Ó(0,22). ùÚÓ – ‡ÁÏÂ˚ Ë ÛÓ‚Â̸ ÒÍÓÚÓ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡.ä‡Ê‰˚È Ù‡ÍÚÓ ËÏÂÂÚ Ò‚ÓÈ ‚ÂÒ, ÍÓÚÓ˚È ÔÓ͇Á˚‚‡ÂÚ ÚÛ ‰Óβ‚‡Ë‡ˆËË (‡ÒÒÂË‚‡ÌËfl) Á̇˜ÂÌËfl ‚ÒÂı ËÒıÓ‰Ì˚ı ÔËÁ̇ÍÓ‚, ÍÓÚÓ‡flÓ·ÛÒÎÓ‚ÎÂ̇ ˝ÚËÏ Ù‡ÍÚÓÓÏ. à̇˜Â „Ó‚Ófl, ÓÌ ‡ÒÍ˚‚‡ÂÚ Á‡‚ËÒËÏÓÒÚ¸ Ó·˘Â„Ó ÒÓÒÚÓflÌËfl ÒËÒÚÂÏ (ÛÓ‚Ìfl  ‡Á‚ËÚËfl) ÓÚ ÙÛÌ͈ËÓÌËÓ‚‡ÌËfl ÚÂı ËÎË ËÌ˚ı  ÒÚÓÓÌ. á̇ÌË ˝ÚÓ„Ó ˜ÂÁ‚˚˜‡ÈÌÓ ‚‡ÊÌÓÔË ËÁÛ˜ÂÌËË ÒËÒÚÂÏ˚. ì͇Á‡ÌÌ˚ هÍÚÓ˚ ËÏÂÎË Ú‡ÍË ‚ÂÒ‡ (‚ %).ì Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ: I – 46,7, II – 23,6, III – 12,6. ì ·Â‰ÌÂȯËıÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ: I – 43,5, II – 27,8, III – 11,5. ç‡Ë·Óθ¯Û˛ Óθ Û Ó·ÓËı ÒÎÓ‚ ËÏÂÎ Ô‚˚È Ù‡ÍÚÓ. éÌ ÔÓ˜ÚË Ì‡ÔÓÎÓ‚ËÌÛ ÓÔ‰ÂÎflÎ ‡Á΢Ëfl‚ ÒÓÒÚÓflÌËË ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ ‡ÒÒχÚË‚‡ÂÏ˚ı ÛÂÁ‰Ó‚. ì Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ÒÓÒÚÓflÌË Ëı ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Á‡‚ËÒÂÎÓ ÔÂʉ ‚Ò„ÓÓÚ Ó·˘Ëı ‡ÁÏÂÓ‚ Ë ÛÓ‚Ìfl ÁÂÏΉÂÎËfl Ë Ëı Û‰ÂθÌÓ„Ó ‚ÂÒ‡ ‚ Ó·˘ÂÏ Ó·˙ÂÏ ÒÂθÒÍÓıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓ„Ó ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ.
á‡ÚÂϯÎË ˝Ì„ӂÓÓÛÊÂÌÌÓÒÚ¸ ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Ë ÒÚÂÔÂ̸ ‡Á‚ËÚËfl ÒÍÓÚÓ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡. ÇÂÒ Ô‚˚ı ‰‚Ûı Ù‡ÍÚÓÓ‚ ÒÓÒÚ‡‚ÎflÎ 70,3%. á̇˜ËÚ, Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ‰Ó·Ë‚‡ÎËÒ¸ ·Î‡„ÓÔÓÎÛ˜Ëfl Á‡ Ò˜ÂÚ ‡Ò¯ËÂÌËfl ÁÂÏΉÂθ˜ÂÒÍÓ„Ó ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡, ÔÓ‚˚¯ÂÌËfl Â„Ó ÛÓ‚Ìfl Ë ÔÓ‰‰ÂʇÌËfl ̇‰ÓÎÊÌÓÈ ‚˚ÒÓÚ ˝Ì„ӂÓÓÛÊÂÌÌÓÒÚË ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡.ëÓÒÚÓflÌË ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ ·Â‰ÌÂÈ¯Â„Ó ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÚ‚‡ ÔÂʉ ‚ÒÂ„Ó Á‡‚ËÒËÚ ÓÚ Â„Ó Ó·ÂÒÔ˜ÂÌÌÓÒÚË ‡·Ó˜ËÏ ÒÍÓÚÓÏ. á‡ÚÂÏ ¯ÎË ‡ÁÏÂ˚ÁÂÏ΂·‰Âθ˜ÂÒÍÓ„Ó ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡ Ë ÚÛ‰Ó‚˚ ÂÒÛÒ˚, ‡ ̇ ÚÂÚ¸ÂÏ ÏÂÒÚ – ‡ÁÏÂ˚ Ë ÛÓ‚Â̸ ÒÍÓÚÓ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡. ÇÂÒ Ô‚˚ı ‰‚Ûı Ù‡ÍÚÓÓ‚ – 71,3%. ç‡ÎËˆÓ ÒÛ˘ÂÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓ ‡Á΢ˠÒÓ ÒÎÓÂÏ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ.
ʼnÌÂȯË ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ·ÓÓÎËÒ¸ Á‡ ‚˚ÊË‚‡ÌË ͇Í408ÏÂÎÍË ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ËÚÂÎË. çÂÓ·ıÓ‰ËÏ˚ÏË ÛÒÎÓ‚ËflÏË ‰Îfl ˝ÚÓ„Ó ·˚ÎÓÔÂʉ ‚ÒÂ„Ó Ì‡Î˘Ë ÎÓ¯‡‰Ë, ‡ Á‡ÚÂÏ ÔÓÒ‚ӂ Ë ÚÛ‰Ó‚˚ı ÂÒÛÒÓ‚.Ç Ó·˘ÂÏ Á‰ÂÒ¸ ÂÁÛθڇÚ˚ Ù‡ÍÚÓÌÓ„Ó ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ‡ ÔÓ‰Ú‚Âʉ‡˛Ú‰‡‚ÌÓ ËÁ‚ÂÒÚÌÛ˛ ÒËÚÛ‡ˆË˛. çÓ ÓÌ ÔÓÁ‚ÓÎflÂÚ ˜ÂÚÍÓ ÛÒÚ‡ÌÓ‚ËÚ¸ ÒÓÓÚÌÓ¯ÂÌË هÍÚÓÓ‚, ÓÔ‰ÂÎfl‚¯Ëı ÒÓÒÚÓflÌË ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡.чÎÂÂ, ‚ ÂÁÛθڇÚ هÍÚÓÌÓ„Ó ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ‡ ÔÓ Í‡Ê‰ÓÏÛ Ù‡ÍÚÓÛ͇ʉ˚È Ó·˙ÂÍÚ ËÁÛ˜‡ÂÏÓÈ Ëı ÒÓ‚ÓÍÛÔÌÓÒÚË ÔÓÎÛ˜‡ÂÚ ÍÓ΢ÂÒÚ‚ÂÌÌ˚È Ë̉ÂÍÒ, ̇Á˚‚‡ÂÏ˚È Ù‡ÍÚÓÌ˚Ï ‚ÂÒÓÏ. éÌ ÔÓ͇Á˚‚‡ÂÚ ÛÓ‚Â̸ ‡Á‚ËÚËfl Ó·˙ÂÍÚ‡ ÔÓ ‰‡ÌÌÓÏÛ Ù‡ÍÚÓÛ.
ë‰ÌËÈ ÛÓ‚Â̸ ˝ÚÓ„Ó ‡Á‚ËÚËfl ‡‚ÂÌ ÌÛβ, ÔÓÎÓÊËÚÂθÌ˚ Ë̉ÂÍÒ˚ ı‡‡ÍÚÂËÁÛ˛ÚÛÓ‚Â̸ ‡Á‚ËÚËfl ‚˚¯Â Ò‰ÌÂ„Ó Ë ÓÚˈ‡ÚÂθÌ˚ – ÌËʠ҉̄Ó. Ç Ú‡·Î. 10 ÔÓ ‚ÒÂÏ ‡ÒÒχÚË‚‡ÂÏ˚Ï ÛÂÁ‰‡Ï Ë Ù‡ÍÚÓ‡Ï Û͇Á‡Ì˚ ˝ÚË Ë̉ÂÍÒ˚. èÓÒÍÓθÍÛ ‚Ò ‚˚‰ÂÎÂÌÌ˚ هÍÚÓ˚ ı‡‡ÍÚÂËÁÛ˛Ú ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓ-˝ÍÓÌÓÏ˘ÂÒÍËÈ ÒÚÓÈ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡, Ëı Ë̉ÂÍÒ˚ ÏÓÊÌÓ ÒÛÏÏËÓ‚‡Ú¸.
èÓÎÛ˜ÂÌÌ˚È Ú‡ÍËÏ Ó·‡ÁÓÏÒÓ‚ÓÍÛÔÌ˚È ËÌÚ„‡Î¸Ì˚È Ë̉ÂÍÒ ÓڇʇÂÚ Ó·˘ËÈ ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓ-˝ÍÓÌÓÏ˘ÂÒÍËÈ ÛÓ‚Â̸ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜ÌÓÈ Ë·Â‰ÌÂȯÂÈ „ÛÔÔ ‚ ͇ʉÓÏ ËÁ ÛÂÁ‰Ó‚. ì͇Á‡ÌÌ˚ Ë̉ÂÍÒ˚ ‰‡˛Ú‚ÓÁÏÓÊÌÓÒÚ¸ ‚˚fl‚ËÚ¸ ÛÓ‚Â̸ ‡Á‚ËÚËfl ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ˷‰ÌÂȯËı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ‚ ͇ʉÓÏ ËÁ ‡ÒÔÂÍÚÓ‚, ı‡‡ÍÚÂËÁÛÂÏÓÏ ‚˚‰ÂÎÂÌÌ˚ÏË Ù‡ÍÚÓ‡ÏË. í‡Í, ̇ÔËÏÂ, ‡ÁÏÂ˚ Ë ÛÓ‚Â̸ ÁÂÏΉÂθ˜ÂÒÍÓ„Ó ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡ (Ô‚˚È Ù‡ÍÚÓ) Û Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ·˚Π̇˷ÓΠ‚˚ÒÓÍËÏ ‚ ʼnflÌÒÍÓÏ (5,38) Ë ò‡‰ËÌÒÍÓÏ (4,76)ÛÂÁ‰‡ı, ‡ ̇˷ÓΠÌËÁÍËÏ – ‚ ɇ‰fl˜ÒÍÓÏ (–3,24) Ë í‚ÂÒÍÓÏ (–3,11)ÛÂÁ‰‡ı.
é·˘ËÈ ÛÓ‚Â̸ ‡Á‚ËÚËfl ÒÂθÒÍÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ (ÒÛÏχ ÚÂıÙ‡ÍÚÓÓ‚ ·ÂÁ Û˜ÂÚ‡ Ëı ‚ÂÒÓ‚) Û Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ·˚Î Ò‡Ï˚Ï‚˚ÒÓÍËÏ ‚ ʼnflÌÒÍÓÏ Ë ò‡‰ËÌÒÍÓÏ ÛÂÁ‰‡ı, ‡ Ò‡Ï˚Ï ÌËÁÍËÏ – ‚í‚ÂÒÍÓÏ Ë å˚¯ÍËÌÒÍÓÏ. çÓ Ù‡ÍÚÓÌ˚ ‚ÂÒ‡ ÏÓ„ÛÚ ·˚Ú¸ ÓÒÌÓ‚ÓÈÌ ÚÓθÍÓ ‰Îfl ÔÓÒÚÓ„Ó ‡ÌÊËÓ‚‡ÌËfl Ó·˙ÂÍÚÓ‚, ÌÓ Ë ‰Îfl Ëı ÏÌÓ„ÓÏÂÌÓÈ ‚ËÁۇθÌÓÈ Ë ‡Ì‡ÎËÚ˘ÂÒÍÓÈ ÚËÔËÁ‡ˆËË. é ÏÌÓ„ÓÏÂÌÓȇ̇ÎËÚ˘ÂÒÍÓÈ ÚËÔËÁ‡ˆËË Â˜¸ ·Û‰ÂÚ Ë‰ÚË ÌËÊÂ. á‰ÂÒ¸ Ô˂‰ÂÏÔËÏ ‚ËÁۇθÌÓÈ Í·ÒÒËÙË͇ˆËË. é̇ ÏÓÊÂÚ, ̇ÔËÏÂ, ÒÚÓËÚ¸Òfl ‚ ÔÓÒÚ‡ÌÒÚ‚Â Ô‚˚ı ‰‚Ûı Ù‡ÍÚÓÓ‚ (Ë·Ó Ëı ‚ÂÒ Ô‚˚¯‡ÂÚ 70%) ‰Îfl ‚˚‰ÂÎÂÌËfl „ÛÔÔ˚ ÛÂÁ‰Ó‚ Í‡Í ÔÓ ÒÓÒÚÓflÚÂθÌÓÒÚË Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜ÌÓ„Ó ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÚ‚‡, Ú‡Í Ë ÔÓ ÔÓÎÓÊÂÌ˲ ·Â‰ÌÂȯËı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ.
çÓ Ì‡Ë·ÓΠËÌÚÂÂÒÌÓ Ò„ÛÔÔËÓ‚‡Ú¸ ÛÂÁ‰˚ Ò Û˜ÂÚÓÏ Ó·˘Â„ÓÛÓ‚Ìfl ‡Á‚ËÚËfl (ÓڇʇÂÏÓ„Ó ÒÛÏχÌ˚Ï Ë̉ÂÍÒÓÏ ÚÂı Ù‡ÍÚÓÓ‚) ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı Ë ·Â‰ÌÂȯËı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ. í‡Í‡fl „ÛÔÔËӂ͇ ÔÓÁ‚ÓÎflÂÚ ‚˚fl‚ËÚ¸ ÛÂÁ‰˚ Ò Ì‡Ë·Óθ¯ÂÈ Ë Ì‡ËÏÂ̸¯ÂÈ „ÎÛ·ËÌÓÈ ‡ÁÎÓÊÂÌËfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÚ‚‡. é˜Â‚ˉÌÓ, ˜ÚÓ Í Ô‚˚Ï ÓÚÌÓÒËÎËÒ¸ ÛÂÁ‰˚, „‰Â Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ·˚ÎË Ì‡Ë·ÓΠ·Ó„‡Ú˚ÏË(Ú. Â. ËÏÂÎË Ì‡Ë·ÓΠ‚˚ÒÓÍËÈ ÛÓ‚Â̸ ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡), ‡ ·Â‰ÌÂȯËÈÒÎÓÈ ‰Â‚ÌË – ̇˷ÓΠ·Â‰Ì˚Ï (ËÏÂΠ̇˷ÓΠÌËÁÍËÈ ÛÓ‚Â̸ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡). Ç Ô˂‰ÂÌÌÓÏ „‡ÙËÍ (ËÒ. 1) ÓÚ‡ÊÂ̇ ڇ͇fl ÚËÔËÁ‡ˆËfl ÛÂÁ‰Ó‚. é̇ ÓÚ˜ÂÚÎË‚Ó ÔÓ͇Á˚‚‡ÂÚ, ˜ÚÓ Ì‡Ë·Óθ¯ÂÈ „ÎÛ·Ë409410 1.
ʼnflÌÒÍËÈ 2. ɇ‰fl˜ÒÍËÈ 3. äÓÏÒÍËÈ 4. ÑÏËÚÓ‚ÒÍËÈ 5. ÖÔËÙ‡ÌÒÍËÈ 6. ä‡ÎÛÊÒÍËÈ 7. èÂÂÏ˚¯Î¸ÒÍËÈ 8. ãËı‚ËÌÒÍËÈ 9. í‚ÂÒÍÓÈ10. çÓ‚ÓÊ‚ÒÍËÈ11. èÓÍÓ‚ÒÍËÈ12. èÂÂflÒ·‚ÒÍËÈ13. äÓ‚Ó‚ÒÍËÈ14. åÓÎÓ„ÒÍËÈ15. å˚¯ÍËÌÒÍËÈ16. ÉflÁӂˆÍËÈ17. à·ËÚÒÍËÈ18. ÇÂıÌÂÚÛÒÍËÈ19. ò‡‰ËÌÒÍËÈìÂÁ‰í‡·Îˈ‡ 105,38–3,210,700,281,00–2,56–2,61–1,40–3,11–0,520,161,090,27–0,43–2,17–0,632,412,804,76I1,564,820,811,901,54–0,531,080,30–1,090,15–1,460,09–0,70–2,14–2,26–2,51–0,71–1,990,15II1,142,79–1,06–1,84–2,510,28–0,05–1,29–0,380,22–0,36–0,71–0,20–0,110,951,920,131,320,35IIIÁ‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚Â8,084,37–0,450,340,03–2,81–1,58–2,39–5,08–0,15–1,660,470,63–2,68–3,48–1,221,833,045,26I + II + III–3,450,90–1,50–1,03–2,814,544,272,932,510,510,240,83–0,70–0,181,06–1,50–2,06–0 78–3,78Iî‡ÍÚÓÌ˚ ‚ÂÒ‡2,91–3,780,830,50–1,320,921,061,610,780,17–1,16–0,260,43–1,071,13–0,702,21–4,801,44IIIII–1,600,300,640,993,51–0,100,98–0,39–0,94–0,08–0,320,140,32–0,17–0,53–0,25–0,25–2,46–0,77·Â‰ÌÂȯËÂìÓ‚Â̸ ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı Ë ·Â‰ÌÂȯËı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ Ì‡ Û·ÂÊ XIX–XX ‚‚.–2,15–2,58–0,030,46–0,625,366,314,152,350,60–1,241,71–0,81–1,421,66–2,45–4,52–8,04–3,11I + II + III7765839151210–7–5–314143–1 135 1–1113571216–31917–5–718êËÒ.
1. íËÔÓÎÓ„Ëfl ‡ÁÎÓÊÂÌËfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ Ì‡ Û·ÂÊ XIX–XX ‚‚.èÓ „ÓËÁÓÌÚ‡ÎË – ÒÓ‚ÓÍÛÔÌ˚ Ë̉ÂÍÒ˚ ÒÓÒÚÓflÌËfl ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ,ÔÓ ‚ÂÚË͇ÎË – ÒÓ‚ÓÍÛÔÌ˚ Ë̉ÂÍÒ˚ ÒÓÒÚÓflÌËfl ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ ·Â‰ÌÂȯËı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÌ˚ ‡ÁÎÓÊÂÌË ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ‰ÓÒÚË„‡ÎÓ ‚ ÔflÚË ÛÂÁ‰‡ı: 1 – ʼnflÌÒÍËÈ,2 – ɇ‰fl˜ÒÍËÈ, 19 – ò‡‰ËÌÒÍËÈ, 17 – à·ËÚÒÍËÈ, 18 – ÇÂıÌÂÚÛÒÍËÈ. á‰ÂÒ¸ ÛÓ‚Â̸ ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ·˚Π̇˷Ó΂˚ÒÓÍËÏ, ‡ ·Â‰ÌÂȯËı – ̇˷ÓΠÌËÁÍËÏ. LJÊÌÓ, ˜ÚÓ Ì‡Ë·Óθ¯‡flÔÓÎflËÁ‡ˆËfl ‰Â‚ÌË ‚ Ô‚˚ı ÚÂı ÛÂÁ‰‡ı Ó·ÛÒ·‚ÎË‚‡Î‡Ò¸ ÚÂÏ,˜ÚÓ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ·˚ÎË Ì‡Ë·ÓΠ·Ó„‡Ú˚ÏË, ‡ ‚ ‰‚Ûı ÔÓÒΉÌËı ÚÂÏ, ˜ÚÓ ·Â‰ÌÂȯËÈ ÒÎÓÈ ·˚Î Ò‡Ï˚Ï ·Â‰Ì˚Ï. í‡ÍËÏ Ó·‡ÁÓÏ, ˝ÚÓÈ „ÛÔÔ ÛÂÁ‰Ó‚ ÔËÒÛ˘Â Ì‡Ë·ÓΠ„ÎÛ·ÓÍÓ ‡Á‚ËÚË ͇ÔËÚ‡ÎËÒÚ˘ÂÒÍËı ÓÚÌÓ¯ÂÌËÈ ‚ ÒÂθÒÍÓÏ ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚Â.ä ˜ËÒÎÛ ÏÂÒÚÌÓÒÚÂÈ Ò Ì‡ËÏÂ̸¯ËÏ ‡Á‚ËÚËÂÏ ·ÛÊÛ‡ÁÌ˚ı ÓÚÌÓ¯ÂÌËÈ ‚ ÒÂθÒÍÓÏ ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚Â ÓÚÌÓÒËÎËÒ¸ ÒÎÂ‰Û˛˘Ë ÔflÚ¸ ÛÂÁ‰Ó‚: 6 – ä‡ÎÛÊÒÍËÈ, 7 – èÂÂÏ˚¯Î¸ÒÍËÈ, 8 – ãËı‚ËÌÒÍËÈ, 9 –í‚ÂÒÍÓÈ, 15 – å˚¯ÍËÌÒÍËÈ.
á‰ÂÒ¸ ̇ËÏÂ̸¯‡fl ÔÓÎflËÁ‡ˆËfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍËı ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚ ‚ Ô‚˚ı ÚÂı ÛÂÁ‰‡ı ‚ ÓÒÌÓ‚ÌÓÏ ÓÔ‰ÂÎfl·ҸÚÂÏ, ˜ÚÓ ÔÓÎÓÊÂÌË ·Â‰ÌÂȯËı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ ·˚ÎÓ, ÂÒÎË ÏÓÊÌÓ Ú‡Í‚˚‡ÁËÚ¸Òfl, “̇ËÎÛ˜¯ËÏ”, ‡ ‚ ‰‚Ûı ÔÓÒΉÌËı – “̇ËıÛ‰¯ËÏ” ÒÓ411ÒÚÓflÌËÂÏ Á‡ÊËÚÓ˜Ì˚ı ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ. ëΉÛÂÚ ËÏÂÚ¸ ‚ ‚ˉÛ, ˜ÚÓ Û͇Á‡Ì̇fl ͇ÚË̇ ÓڇʇÂÚ ÒÔˆËÙËÍÛ ‡ÁÎÓÊÂÌËfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ Î˯¸ ÒÓÒÚÓÓÌ˚ ÒÓÒÚÓflÌËfl Ëı ÒÂθÒÍÓıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓ„Ó ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚‡.
ì˜ÂÚÌÂÁÂÏΉÂθ˜ÂÒÍËı Á‡ÌflÚËÈ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ, Ә‚ˉÌÓ, ‚ÌÂÒÂÚ ÓÔ‰ÂÎÂÌÌ˚ ÍÓÂÍÚË‚˚.éÒڇθÌ˚ ‰Â‚flÚ¸ ÛÂÁ‰Ó‚ Ô‰ÒÚ‡‚ÎflÎË ÒÓ·ÓÈ ÔÓÏÂÊÛÚÓ˜Ì˚ÈÏÂÊ‰Û Í‡ÈÌËÏË ÚËÔ‡ÏË ‚‡Ë‡ÌÚ ‡ÁÎÓÊÂÌËfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ.Ç˚fl‚ÎÂÌ̇fl ÚËÔÓÎÓ„Ëfl ‡ÁÎÓÊÂÌËfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÚ‚‡ ÏÓÊÂÚ ·˚Ú¸ÓÒÌÓ‚ÓÈ ‰Îfl ÔÓÒÎÂ‰Û˛˘Â„Ó ·ÓΠ‰ÂڇθÌÓ„Ó ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ‡ ‚ÌÛÚÂÌÌ„ÓÒÚÓfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ ̇ ÛÓ‚Ì ‚ÓÎÓÒÚÂÈ Ë ÒÂÎÂÌËÈ.ä‡Í ‚ˉËÏ, Ù‡ÍÚÓÌ˚È ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ ÔÓÁ‚ÓÎflÂÚ Á̇˜ËÚÂθÌÓ Û„ÎÛ·ËÚ¸ËÁÛ˜ÂÌË ‚ÌÛÚÂÌÌÂ„Ó ÒÚÓfl ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡. à ıÓÚfl χÚÂχÚ˘ÂÒÍËÈ ‡ÔÔ‡‡Ú Ù‡ÍÚÓÌÓ„Ó ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ‡ Ì ÒÓ‰ÂÊËÚ ÒÓ·ÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓÏÓ‰ÂθÌÓÈ ËÌÙÓχˆËË Ò‡Ï ÔÓ Ò·Â, Â„Ó ÍÓ΢ÂÒÚ‚ÂÌÌ˚ ÂÁÛθڇÚ˚ (Ù‡ÍÚÓÌ˚ ‚ÂÒ‡ Ó·˙ÂÍÚÓ‚) ÏÓ„ÛÚ ·˚Ú¸ ËÒÔÓθÁÓ‚‡Ì˚ ÔË ÍÓÂÎflˆËÓÌÌÓÏ, „ÂÒÒËÓÌÌÓÏ Ë ‰Û„Ëı ÏÂÚÓ‰‡ı ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ‡, ÍÓÚÓ˚ ڇÍÛ˛ ËÌÙÓχˆË˛ ÒÓ‰ÂÊ‡Ú Ë ÔÓÚÓÏÛ ‰ÓÔÛÒ͇˛Ú ‚ÓÁÏÓÊÌÓÒÚ¸ ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ‡ Ó·˘ÂÒÚ‚ÂÌÌ˚ı ÒËÒÚÂÏ ÔÛÚÂÏ ‚ÓÒıÓʉÂÌËfl ÓÚ ‡·ÒÚ‡ÍÚÌÓ„Ó ÍÍÓÌÍÂÚÌÓÏÛ Ë ÔÓÒÚÓÂÌËfl ‰Â‰ÛÍÚË‚Ì˚ı ËÁÏÂËÚÂθÌ˚ı ÏÓ‰ÂÎÂÈ.ç‡Ë·ÓΠÒËθ̇fl ÒÚÓÓ̇ Ë ÔÂËÏÛ˘ÂÒÚ‚Ó ‰Â‰ÛÍÚË‚ÌÓ„Ó ÓڇʇÚÂθÌÓ-ËÁÏÂËÚÂθÌÓ„Ó ÏÓ‰ÂÎËÓ‚‡ÌËfl ÒÓÒÚÓflÚ ‚ ÚÓÏ, ˜ÚÓ ÓÌÓ ‰‡ÂÚ ÍÓ΢ÂÒÚ‚ÂÌÌ˚È ÔÓ͇Á‡ÚÂθ ÒÓÓÚÌÓ¯ÂÌËfl Ó·˘Â„Ó, Ô‰ÂθÌÓ ‚˚‡ÊÂÌÌÓ„Ó ‚ ˉ‡θÌÓÈ ÒÛ˘ÌÓÒÚÌÓ-ÒÓ‰ÂʇÚÂθÌÓÈ ÏÓ‰ÂÎË, Ò ÓÒÓ·ÂÌÌ˚Ï Ë Â‰ËÌ˘Ì˚Ï, ı‡‡ÍÚÂÌ˚Ï ‰Îfl ÍÓÌÍÂÚÌÓ„Ó ÔÓÒÚ‡ÌÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓ-‚ÂÏÂÌÌó„Ó ÒÓÒÚÓflÌËfl ËÁÛ˜‡ÂÏÓÈ Â‡Î¸ÌÓÒÚË.
çÓ ÙÓÏËÓ‚‡ÌË ˉ‡θÌÓ„Ó Ó·‡Á‡ ‡θÌÓÒÚË, Í‡Í ·˚ÎÓ ÔÓ͇Á‡ÌÓ, ‚ÓÁÏÓÊÌÓ‰‡ÎÂÍÓ Ì ‚Ò„‰‡. èÓ˝ÚÓÏÛ ÒÛ˘ÂÒÚ‚Û˛Ú Ë ‰Û„Ë ÏÂÚÓ‰˚ ÔÓÒÚÓÂÌËflÓڇʇÚÂθÌÓ-ËÁÏÂËÚÂθÌ˚ı ÏÓ‰ÂÎÂÈ34.LJÊÌÛ˛ Óθ ÓڇʇÚÂθÌÓ-ËÁÏÂËÚÂθÌÓ ÏÓ‰ÂÎËÓ‚‡ÌË ÏÓÊÂÚ Ë„‡Ú¸ ÔË ‚ÂËÙË͇ˆËË (‰Ó͇Á‡ÚÂθÒÚ‚Â ËÒÚËÌÌÓÒÚË) „ËÔÓÚÂÁ ÓÒÛ˘ÌÓÒÚË ‡Á΢Ì˚ı fl‚ÎÂÌËÈ Ë ÔÓˆÂÒÒÓ‚. ÉËÔÓÚÂÁ‡, Í‡Í ËÁ‚ÂÒÚÌÓ,fl‚ÎflÂÚÒfl ¯ËÓÍÓ ‡ÒÔÓÒÚ‡ÌÂÌÌÓÈ ÙÓÏÓÈ Ì‡Û˜ÌÓ„Ó Á̇ÌËfl, ‡ÒÍ˚‚‡˛˘ÂÈ ÒÛ˘ÌÓÒÚ¸ ËÁÛ˜‡ÂÏ˚ı fl‚ÎÂÌËÈ ‚ ‡·ÒÚ‡ÍÚÌÓ-ÚÂÓÂÚ˘ÂÒÍÓÈ ÙÓÏÂ. ëÛ˘ÂÒÚ‚ÛÂÚ ˆÂÎ˚È fl‰ ÏÂÚÓ‰Ó‚ ÔÓ‚ÂÍË ËÒÚËÌÌÓÒÚË„ËÔÓÚÂÁ.
é‰ÌËÏ ËÁ ÌËı ‚˚ÒÚÛÔ‡ÂÚ Ë ÏÓ‰ÂÎËÓ‚‡ÌËÂ.ä‡Í Ò‡Ï ı‡‡ÍÚ „ËÔÓÚÂÁ, Ú‡Í Ë ÏÂÚÓ‰˚ Ëı ÔÓ‚ÂÍË ÔÛÚÂÏ ÔÓÒÚÓÂÌËfl ÏÓ‰ÂÎÂÈ ËÁÛ˜‡ÂÏ˚ı fl‚ÎÂÌËÈ ÏÓ„ÛÚ ·˚Ú¸ ‡ÁÌ˚ÏË. èÓÒÚÂȯËÏ fl‚ÎflÂÚÒfl ‚‡Ë‡ÌÚ, ÍÓ„‰‡ ‚˚‰‚Ë„‡ÂÚÒfl Ô‰ÔÓÎÓÊÂÌËÂ, ˜ÚÓÏÂÊ‰Û ÓÔ‰ÂÎÂÌÌ˚ÏË ÔÓfl‚ÎÂÌËflÏË Ë ˜ÂÚ‡ÏË Â‡Î¸ÌÓÒÚË ÒÛ˘ÂÒÚ34èË ËÁÛ˜ÂÌËË ‡„‡ÌÓÈ ËÒÚÓËË êÓÒÒËË ˝ÔÓıË Í‡ÔËÚ‡ÎËÁχ ÏÂÚÓ‰˚ ‰Â‰ÛÍÚË‚ÌÓ„ÓÏÓ‰ÂÎËÓ‚‡ÌËfl ·˚ÎË ËÒÔÓθÁÓ‚‡Ì˚ Ë ‰Îfl ‡Ì‡ÎËÁ‡ ÒӈˇθÌÓ-˝ÍÓÌÓÏ˘ÂÒÍÓ„ÓÒÚÓfl ÔÓÏÂ˘Ë˜¸Â„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡. ëÏ.: äÓ‚‡Î¸˜ÂÌÍÓ à.Ñ., ëÂÎÛÌÒ͇fl ç.Å., ãËÚ‚‡ÍÓ‚ Å.å. ëӈˇθÌÓ-˝ÍÓÌÓÏ˘ÂÒÍËÈ ÒÚÓÈ ÔÓÏÂ˘Ë˜¸Â„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡ Ö‚ÓÔÂÈÒÍÓÈêÓÒÒËË ‚ ˝ÔÓıÛ Í‡ÔËÚ‡ÎËÁχ: (àÒÚÓ˜ÌËÍË Ë ÏÂÚÓ‰˚ ËÁÛ˜ÂÌËfl). å., 1981.412‚ÛÂÚ ‚Á‡ËÏÓÒ‚flÁ¸. í‡Í, ËÁÛ˜‡fl ÒÚÂÔÂ̸ ‡Á‚ËÚËfl ͇ÔËÚ‡ÎËÒÚ˘ÂÒÍËıÓÚÌÓ¯ÂÌËÈ ‚ ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌÒÍÓÏ ıÓÁflÈÒڂ ̇ ÓÒÌÓ‚Â ÔËÁ̇ÍÓ‚, ı‡‡ÍÚÂËÁÛ˛˘Ëı ÔÓËÁ‚Ó‰ÒÚ‚ÂÌÌÓ-˝ÍÓÌÓÏ˘ÂÒÍÛ˛ ÒÚÛÍÚÛÛ ˝ÚÓ„Ó ıÓÁflÈÒÚ‚‡, ÏÓÊÌÓ Ô‰ÔÓÎÓÊËÚ¸, ˜ÚÓ ‡Á‚ËÚË ˝ÚËı ÓÚÌÓ¯ÂÌËÈ ·˚ÎÓ Ò‚flÁ‡ÌÓ Ò ÓÒÚÓÏ „‡ÏÓÚÌÓÒÚË ÍÂÒÚ¸flÌ, Ú.Â.