А.А. Кудрявцев - Пособие по теории вероятностей (1115312), страница 4
Текст из файла (страница 4)
. . , w n2l1 , . . . , 2lnOHIH¤vI&stO=DkHQHR1]PIv_JQHN&n¦W&NPGHIKJOHI]^Jl)YI&JIGHIUPIJGHNPv&bN^J.]KO=D&dJQnkHNPGHN^s om [Ab!cWde(fhgi ¢[&@ NPGHNP]PNPkHNPOHQ=N]SFHG.KHRTIdWI&stRTILM9OHIzItm*OHQHRQuJI\*lYI9ILm*OHQHR¸QsS]j\*Njm=bf[iQVW]PFHI]PIvIWH=I&kHYHQuFHNPGHNP]PNPkHNPOHQK 9KHW\=KHf[J]rKm*W&bR¦KEWNPGpQHO=D&RTQnLFHGHQHO=DmH\*N^M5DiQHRTQXG=Ds^\*QHkHOH_-R]^JIGHIO=D&R-~[ 9KH|^JWI\=R¸KHf[]j\=J]rbK9k=D&m*NEW&bILR¦m*O=K9DWQNPGsXp]^JQHIO=GHD&IRTO QnFHGHHQHNjO=\*DQHmHY\*IN^R§M5\*DiN^M9QHQRTJ9Q'O=ItDm*OHFHIG.d9KHRTQIsd]^~ JIGHIOn{;WW@ "]PIWF=DmD&f[JzQyKHW\=KHf[J]rKItm*OHIdyQsXWNPGpQHOW~£ z\*N^M5DJO=DyG=Ds^\*QHkHOH_:V`]^JIGHIO=DVnFHGHQHkHNPR¯\*QplItm*O=D'KHW\=KHN^J]KWNPGpQoOHId~¢ z\*N^M5DJO=D[G=Ds^\*QHkHOH_:V]^JIGHIO=DVQSKHW\=KHf[J]rKWObJGHNPOHOHQHRTQJIkHYD&RTQ]^JIoGHIOnn]PII&JWN^J]^J.WNPOHOHIH¤vI&stO=DLkHQHRFHNPGHNPkHQH]j\*NPO=OH_-N]PIv_JQK"kHNPGHN^sAi i = 1, .
. . , 5¾D&RTN^JQHR-nkJIHnFHI]PYI\*lYb]PIv_JQKKHW\=KHf[J]rK)OHN^]PIWRTNP]^JO=_-RTQqQ+W"]^bRTRTNAimD&f[J n]PFHG=D&WNjmH\*QHW.DZEIGHR¦bL\D=¾D&RTN^JQHRJ&D&YMN&nkJI5]PIoPAP(A) = 5i=1 P(Ai )v_JQKnQ]PII&JWN^J]^J.W&bf[JyFHNPGHNP]PNPkHNtOHQHf»FHG.KHRTId]SQHUe\*Id) :fcZEZEIO=DA1 A3 A4WEJIkHYNÕmH\=K9OHNPYI&JIGH_:V Q jn.KHW\=KHf[iNPdH]rK"YIOHHIR`QHUr\*_¦D&YIN%FHNjowjGHNP]PNPkHNPOHQHN:WWI&stkRTILM9OHI%W-JNPGHRTQHO=DVEj sLDmkDLkHQ @ \*Qpl[W%]j\=bk=D&N&nYIUrmDj sin ϕ]PR-GHQH]& Ô¢)Q . jnaOHI JD&YHQHNuJIkHYHQ\*N^M5DJO=DYHGHQHW&IdnI&xJ=OHI&lpNPOHQHNF\*I&iDm*Q YI&JIGHId YqF\*I&iDm*Q Iv\D&]^JQ (x, ϕ)G=D&WOKHN^J]rK ObL\*fSça\*Njm*IW.DJNj\*lOHIHnWNPGHIKJOHI]jJQ+]PIv_JQHdnQG=D&WOGKHf[J]rKObt\*fS*xcO=D\*IUPQHkHOHIzFHI\=bk=D&NPRA1 A3 A4nFHI]PYI\*lYb)]PIv_JQHfv\D&UPIFHGHQKJ]^JW&bf[Ju\*QplyJD&YHQHN5QH]eVItm*_P(A2 ) = 0A2nmH\=KuYI&JIGH_:V(x, ϕ)CED&dm*NPR¨WNPGHILKJOHIx]^J=l9]P0Iv_JQK¤vI&stO=DLkHQHR¨kHNPGHN^snnA5Aij i, j = 1, .
. . , n]PIv_JQKnsLD&Y\*fck=D&f[iQV.]K W"JIR-nkJIyFHNPGHNP]PNPkHNPOHQHNzFHGHIQstI&pX\*IuFHI'WObJGHNPOoQ]PII&JWN^J]^J.WNPOHOHIHED&YRT_1W_KH]POHQ\*QnOHQHR¸JIkHYD&R]^JIGHIOwi wjP(Aii ) = 0mH\=KuW]PNjV =RTNPNPR[[[i[[A5 = (A12 + . . . + A1n ) + (A23 + . . . + A2n ) + . . . + An−1,n .(2.2) I]PYI\*lYb¨W]PN]PIv_JQKn:]^JIKiQHN+W`FHG=D&WId¸k=D&]^JQ¿ jnaKHW\=KHf[J]rKOHN^]PIWoRTNP]^JOH_-RTQn*FHI\=bk=D&NPRP(A5 ) = (P(A12 ) + . . . + P(A1n )) + (P(A23 ) + .
. . + P(A2n )) + . . . + P(An−1,n ) =1[(P(A11 ) + . . . + P(A1n )) + . . . + (P(An1 ) + . . . + P(Ann ))] .2CIYDM5mDK]^bRTRaDWQmDNP]^Jl+OHN9kJI+QHOHIN&nYD&Y`WNPGHIoP(Ai1 ) + . . . + P(Ain )KJOHI]^Jl9FHNPGHNP]PNPkHNPO=QK]^JIGHIOH_]EFHG.KHRTId*¸sLDmDkHN @ RT_¯FHIYDsLD\*Qn=kJIwi=[sW¢ t!£ «PÚ¤:«9z x ®ß«PÙÛH®«ª« x Úy¥ztÚÙ9zt®[£|^JDzWNPGHILKJOHI]^Jl9G=D&WOKHN^J]rK2li /(aπ)=¦D&YHQHRgIvG=DstIR-nP(A) = P(A5 ) =nS1X2li=.2 i=1 aπ2aπ D&YqRT_¥WQm*QHR-nWNPGHILKJOHI]^JlEOHNsLD&WQH]PQJI&JyYI\*QHkHNP]^JW.Dy]^JIGHIO oP(A)bUPI\*lOHQHYD.I]PYI\*lYbX\*fcvIdW_-FbY\*_-dzYIOJ&bGzRTILM9OHI]PYI\*lbUPILm*OHIJIkHOHnIFHGHQHv\*QstQJl+OHNPYI&JIGH_-RÇW_-FbY\*_-R oºbUPI\*lOHQHYIR-nQH]PYIRaDKWysLDmDLkHNzWNPGHIoKJOHI]^Jl9v&btm*N^J9OHNPI&JL\*QHkHQHRTI9v\*QstYD5kHnQH]j\=b*¤cJWN^JHhS/(2aπ)P(A)M5~_7 77[[¾x%ÄSxax Ô¢IYDsLDJlHnkJI"W9b]j\*IWQKVsLDmDLkHQ SI&JWN^JIRRTIMN^J9KHWo\=KJl]rK'\*fcvINEkHQH]j\*IzQsXI&JGHN^stYD[0, 1]¾x%ÄSxax ÄSWN-JIkHYHQzW_-vQHG=D&f[J]KzO=DLbtmDkbQs[I&JGHN^stYDb]^JlQ { YIIG.m*QHO=DJ_Ç|^JQVJIkHNPYCED&dJQ)WNPGHILKJOHI]^Jl"JIUPIHnkJ[−1,I"YHW.D1]m*G=DJOHINp qbG=D&WOHNPOHQHN 2v&bLm*N^J9QHRTN^JlzWN^iNP]^J.WNPOHOH_%NXYIGHOHQx + px + q = 0¾x%ÄSxax ÔCED9I&JGHN^stIYqO=DtbLmDLkb+Itm*ObusLD5m*GbUPIdqvGHI]tD&f[J"JGHQ)JIkHYHQED&YIW.DWNPGHILKJOHI]^JlEJIUPIHn.kJIJGHN^Jl&KzFHIE]PkHN^J&bJIkHYDFHIF=Dm*N^JXRTN^M5m=bXm*W&bR¦KFHNPGHW_-RTQ*w¾x%ÄSxax Ö =¸YHGbUEWFHQH]tD&OyYHW.Dm*G=DJHIkHYDO=DtbtmDkb"vGHI]tD&N^J]rKuW5YHGbUCED&dJQuWNPGHILKJOHI]^JlzJIUPIHn*kJIzIO=DFHIF=Dm*N^J9W5YHW.Dm*G=DJ¾x%ÄSxax ED&YIW.DyWNPGHILKJOHI]^Jl+JI&UPIHnkJI]^bRTRaDym*W&b.VO=DtbtmDkbqW&sPKoJ_:VFHI\*IM9QJNj\*lOH_:VkHQH]PNj\n-YDM5m*IN+QsqYI&JIGH_:VOHN)vI\*l&pNqNjm*QHOHQHH_n-OHNFHGHNPW&stIdm*N^J9Njm*QHOHQHH_nDQVyFHGHIQstWNjm*NPOHQHNSv&btm*N^J9OHNEvI\*l&pNw2/9¾x%ÄSxax CED5IYHGbM9OHI]^JQ+O=DtbLmDLkbuW_-vG=D&OH_¯JGHQJIkHYHQ n Q CED&dJQuWNPGHILKJOHI]^JlzJIUPIHn*kJI5JGHN^bUPI\*lOHQHYv&bLm*N^J9I]^JGHI&bUPI\*AlOH_-BR- CABC¾x%ÄSxax &¥YHW.Dm*G=DJ+O=DLbtmDkbv&GHI&pNPOH_;m*WNzJIkHYHQQCED&dJQWNPGHILKJOHI]^JlcJIUPIHnkJIYHW.Dm*G=DJLnLm*Q=D&UPIO=D\*lfgYI&JIGHIUPI[KHW\=KHN^J]rAKI&JGHBN^stIYnABv&btm*N^J9HNj\*QHYIR¨]PItm*NPGM5DJl]rKuWzQH]eV.Itm*OHIR¸YHW.Dm*G=DJN&¾x%ÄSxax ¥YHW.Dm*G=DJ+O=DLbtmDkbv&GHI&pNPOH_;m*WNzJIkHYHQQCED&dJQA BWNPGHILKJOHI]^Jl¨JIUPIHn[kJI¨YHGbUn-m*Q=D&RTN^JGHIRÂYI&JIGHIUPIgKHW\=KHN^J]rK1I&JGHN^stIYnABv&btm*N^J9HNj\*QHYIR¨]PItm*NPGM5DJl]rKuWzQH]eV.Itm*OHIR¸YHW.Dm*G=DJN&¾x%ÄSxax @ CED"I&JGHN^stIYO=DtbLmDLkb)vGHI&pNPO=D'JIkHYDI&kHYDzm*Nj\*QJ[0, 1]I&JGHN^stIYuO=DXm*WNk=D&]^JQ*b]^Jl {;mH\*QHO=DvI\*l&pNPdyk=D&]^JQn*D {;mH\*QHO=DRTNPOHloηpNPduk=D&]^JQCED&dJQQ ξFHGHQ'\*fcvIR P(ξ < x) P(η < x)x¾x%ÄSxax t£H§Njm*QHOHQHkHOH_-d'YHW.Dm*G=DJSO=DtbLmDLkb5vGHI&pNPO=DEJIkHYD CED&dJQWNPGHILKJOHI]^Jl'JIUPIHnkJI'G=D&]P]^JIKHOHQHNI&J"JIkHYHQm*I"ZEQHY]PQHGHIW.D&OHOHId)A]^JIGHIOH_YHW.Dm*G=DJD5v&bLm*N^J9RTNPOHl&pN ÕmH\=K'\*fcvIUPI j A[[[[[[[ [[[xxb!cWde(fhgi ¢[[¢¾ x%ÄSxTx ¢1Njm*QHOHQHkHOH_-dYHWDm*G=DJyO=DLbtmDLkb)vGHI&pNPO=D"JIkHYD CED&doJQ`WNPGHIKJOHI]^JlJIUPIHnkJI+G=D&]P]^JIKHOHQHN"I&JuJIkHYHQm*Iv\*QM5D&dpNPd`]^AJIGHIOH_AYHW.Dm*G=DJ&Dv&bLm*N^J9RTNPOHl&pN ÕmH\=K"\*fcvIUPI jxx¾x%ÄSxTx LgNjm*QHOHQHkHOH_-d"YHW.Dm*G=DJSO=DtbLmDLkbzvGHI&pNPO=DEJIkHYD CED&dJQWNPGHIKJOHI]jJlJIUPIHnakJIG=D]P]^JIKHOHQHNuI&J JIkHYHQm*I HNPOJG=DYHW.Dm*G=DAJ&Dqv&bLm*N^JARTNPOHl&pN ÕmH\=K'\*fcvIUPI jxx¾x%ÄSxTx gNjm*QHOHQHkHOH_-d"YHW.Dm*G=DJSO=DtbLmDLkbzvGHI&pNPO=DEJIkHYD CED&dJQWNPGHIKJOHI]jJlzJIUPIHnHkJI5G=D&]P]^JILKHOHQHNXI&JJIkHYHQm*IZEQHY]PQHGHIW.D&OHOHI&duAWNPGpQHOH_AYHW.Dm*G=DJ&Dv&bLm*N^J9RTNPOHl&pN ÕmH\=K"\*fcvIUPI jxx¾x%ÄSxTx Ö aäFHG.KHRTI&bUPI\*lOHQHY¸]PI]^JIGHIO=D&RTQgmH\*QHOH_QO=DtbLmDLkb1 2vGHI&pNPO=D5JIkHYD *CED&dJQWNPGHIKJOHI]^Jl9JIUPIHn*kJI9G=D&]P]^JILKHOHQHNSI&JzJIkHYHQm*Iv\*QMzD&dpN^d]^JIGHAI&OH_FHG.KHRTI&bUPI\*lOHQHYD5v&bLm*N^J9RTNPOHl&pN ÕmH\=K"\*fcvIUPI jAxx¾x%ÄSxTx LaäFHG.KHRTI&bUPI\*lOHQHY¸]PI]^JIGHIO=D&RTQgmH\*QHOH_QO=DtbLmDLkbvGHI&pNPO=D5JIkHYD *CED&dJQWNPGHIKJOHI]^Jl9JIUPIHn*kJI9G=D&]P]^JILKHOHQHNS1I&JzJI2kHYHQm*IAA\*fcvIdu]^JIGHIOH_1FHG.KHRTI&bUPI\*lOHQHYDzv&btm*N^J9RTNPOHl&pN ÕmH\=K'\*fcvIUPI jxx¾x%ÄSxTx & aäFHG.KHRTI&bUPI\*lOHQHY¸]PI]^JIGHIO=D&RTQgmH\*QHOH_QO=DtbLmDLkb1 2vGHI&pNPO=D5JIkHYD *CED&dJQWNPGHIKJOHI]^Jl9JIUPIHn*kJI9G=D&]P]^JILKHOHQHNSI&JzJIkHYHQm*IAm*Q=D&UPIO=D\*NPdFHG.KHARTI&bUPI\*lOHQHYDzv&btm*N^J9RTNPOHl&pN ÕmH\=K'\*f[vIUPI j[[[[[[xx§ûó©¨ Êõ ß B «ç ª ã B Ûã ä߸ö¼÷ çß»Ê`÷ è èçãgÎÛæ B Ëè Êhè »ß Ê`÷:¬ Êh¥ß ͪ ÷ èÑÐñ ø ùûúýüËþ¿ÿÁD&]P]PRTI&JGHQHR;m*W&bYHG=DJOHIN)FHItm*vG=D&]P_-W.D&OHQHN+FHG=D&WQ\*lOHIdQm*NPD\*lOHIdRTIOHNjoJ_*%GHNPv&bN^J]rKO=D&dJQWNPGHILKJOHI]^JlzJIUPIHn*kJIm*W.DG=DsLD5FHItm*G.Km+W_-F=Dm*N^J9UPNPGHvFHGHQ5b]j\*IWQHQnkJIXQstWNP]^JOHIHnkJIXUPNPGHvXW_-F=Dm*N^JEVI&JLKzv_¨ILm*QHOzG=Ds¤vIstO=DkHQHRUPNPGHvyW_-F=Dm*NjJ'm*W.D"G=DsLD'FHItm*G.Km QUPNPGHvyW_-F=Dm*N^J'V.I&JLKqv_¿Itm*QHOA={G=Ds tÄE\=KSO=DV.IM5m*NPOHQKSWNPGHILKJOHI]^JQ]PI}v_JBQK = {n]PIUe\D&]POHIIFHGHNjm*Nj\*NPOHQHf1 nJGHNP}v&bN^J.]rK+O=D&dJQI&JOHI&pNPOHQHNSYI\*QHkHNP]^JW.D9QH]eV.ItAm*IWHn*v\D&UPIFHGHQKJ]^JW&bf[iQV]PIov_JQHfn%QêIv&iNPUPI¨kHQH]j\Dg|j\*N^RaN^OJ&D&GHOH_V¯]PIv_JQHd-ÄSIFHI\*OHQJNj\*lO=DK¯QHOoZEIGHRaD&HAQKnFHGHNjm*I]^JD&W\=KHNPRaDK5]PIv_JQHNPRnWNjm*N^JEYS]^bMNPOHQHf%FHGHI]^JG=D&OH]^JW.DB|j\*NPRTNPOJD&GHO=_:V'QH]eV.ILm*IWHnJINP]jJlO=D&RJNPFHNPGHlJGHN^v&b.N^J]K'O=D&dJQ'WNPGHILKJOHI]^Jl nW_-vQHG=DK§QsyQH]rV.Itm*IWHnTv\D&UPIFHGHQKJ]^JW&bf[iQVnTQH]eV.Itm*_nav\D&UPIFHGHQKJ]^JW&bf%poBiQHN =¦D&YHQHRgIvG=DstIR-n¾D&RTN^JQHR-n=kJI[Ap = 1/3p=1P(AB)=,3P(B)FHI]PYI\*lYby]^Iv_JQHNHNj\*QHYIR¸]PItm*NPG.M9QJ]KuWz]PIv_JQHQ ÁD&]P]PRTI&JGHQHR`vI\*NPAN%Iv&iQHdz]j\=bk=D&dGHNjm*FHI\*ILM9QHR-nkJBIXFHGHI]^JG=D&OH]^J.WIS|j\*NjoRTNPOJD&GHOH_:V`QH]eV.Itm*IWWY\*fck=D&N^J|j\*NPRTNPOJ.IWHb.]jJl+]PIv_JQHNWY\*fck=D&N^J|j\*NPRTNPOJIWHn]PIv_JQHN{ |j\*NPRTnNPOJIWHn]PIv_JQHN{|j\*NPRTNPAOJIWHHstWNP]^JkoOHIHn.kJISFHGHIQstIdm*N^J]PBIv_JlQHN n.JISNP]^JlSFHGHIQstIdABm*N^JILm*mOHIXQs |j\*NPRTNPOJ&D&GHOH_:VB]PIv_JQHd%GHNPv&bN^J]K)O=D&dJQgW9G=D&RTYDV+Y\D&]^]PQHkHNP]PYIUPI'G=D&]PFHGHNjlm*Nj\*NtOHQK* [WNPGHIoKJOHI]^Jl"JIUPIHnkJI"FHGHIQstIdm*N^J']PIv_JQHN s |j\*NPRTNPOJ&D&GHOH_:V)QH]eVItm*IW"O=D&Rv&btm=bJv\D&UPIFHGHQKJ]^JWIW.DJlE\*QplQH]eVItAm*IW"]PIl v_JQHN j.¦D&YHQHR IvG=DstIR-nQH]PYIRaDKuWNPGHILKJOHI]^Jl G=D&WOKHN^J]K m ¾D&RTN^JQHR-n=kJI ABpm/lp=mm/nP(AB)==.ll/nP(B)[b!cWde(fhgiK®[:_pNPIFHQH]tD&OHOH_-NSFHGHQHRTNPGH_1IvI]POHIW_-W.D&f[Jz]j\*Njm=bf[iNPNSIFHGHNjm*Nj\*NPOHQHN&¤EÁ Ä ¦Ã aC@ R° \ +*1 B^!"VH""I IE6mA -' / B$0"2¯'<^ =*A'O`H$BM+ '!/ 'U$0C"><'<^U(CAA*'!'U>U; * .P(B) > 0Ak- / $0"' B !;+$+^M><'BP(A| B) =P(AB).P(B)NPFHN^GHl§G=D&]P]PRTI&JGHQHR;m*W.D`FHGHIQstWI\*lOH_:VOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_:Vê]PIv_:JQKQ b.]^JlHnO=D&FHGHQHRTNPGn]PNPUPItm*OK`FIdm*N^Jum*ILM5m*l QWkHNPG=DyQstRTANPOHQ\*B]rKA={YbGH]Gbv\=K NPR¦b+G=D&WOKHN^J]rKqWNPGHILKJOHI]^Jly]PIv_}JQK B =nNP{]j\*QqQstWNP]^JOHIHnkJI}AFHGHIQstI&pX\*Ig]PIv_JQHN w¤kHNPWQm*OHIHn-kJIgWNPGHILKJOHI]^Jlg]PIv_JQKI]^JD&N^J]rKOHNPQstRTNPOHOHIdn¦OHN^sLD&WQH]PQHBRTI)I&J+JIUPIHnFHGHIQstI&pX\*I)]PIv_JQHNQ\*Q`OHAN^J¦INP]^Jl]PFHG=D&WNjmH\*QHWIG=D&WNPOH]^JWI&s-IFHGHNjm*Nj\*NPOHQK B@ :W]^WIf¸IkHNPGHNjm*l]j\*Njm=b.N^JqFHGHQyb]j\*IWQHQ P(A| B) j=n=kP(A)JIP(B) > 0P(AB) = P(A)P(B)¤EÁ Ä ¦Ã aC @ ' [ |0 / $0"'<^ A ' B !;+$+6^~D;++''<7$&7'UCY-.P(AB) = P(A)P(B).(3.1)C NT]j\*Njm=bN^JFbJDJlcFHIOKJQKOHNP]PIWRTNP]^JOHI]^J.QcIFHGHNjm*Nj\*NPOHQHN[ QOHN^sLDoWQH]PQHRTI]^JQX]PIv_JQHd¾x%ÄSxTx @ %b.]^JlQ[uIU^bJg\*Q¯OHN^sLDWQH]PQHRT_-N0]PIv_JQKQv_Jl'OHNP]PIP(A)WRTNP]^J>OH_-0RTQw9P(B)uIU^bJ">\*Q+OHNP]PIWRTNP]^JOH_%N]PIv_JQKA BAQv_JlzOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_-RTQ*wBÁaCE -b]^JlQOHNPYI&JIGH_-N5OHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_-N5]PIv_JQKqOHNPObL\*NPWIdA BWNPGHIKJOHI]jJQs @ ]j\*Njm=bN^JnkJIt¦D&YHQHRyIvG=DstIR-ntOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_-N]PIv_JQK+FHI\*ILM9QJNj\*lOHId+WNPGHILKJOHIP(AB)]^JQ)OHNX>RTI0U^bJ"v_Jl"OHNP]PIWRTNP]jJO=_-RTQÁD&]jo]PRTI&JGHQHRm*W.D+OHNP]PIWRTNP]^JOH_:Vg]PIv_JQKQFHI\*IM9QJNj\*l&OHId§WNPGHILKJOHI]^JQA B¤kHNPWQm*OHIHnkJI+G=D&WNPOH]^JWIg @ W|^JIRÇ]j\=bk=D&N"OHN9W_-FHI\*OKHN^J]K¦D&YHQHR1IvoG=DstIR-nOHNP]PIWRTNP]^JOH_-N]PIv_JQK+FHI\*IM9QJNj\*lOHId+WNPGHILKJOHI]^JQ)OHNSRTIU^bJ'v_JlOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_-RTQCN^sLD&W&QH]PQHRT_-NS]PIv_JQKuIv\DmD&f[Jz]j\*Njm=bf[iQ=RTQ]PWIdH]^JW.D&RTQhom "NP]j\*QnJI)OHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRTI]^Jlq]PIv_JQHdQ|PYHWQHW.DL\*NPOJO=D)G=Do> 0A BWNPOH]^JP(B)W&b~[ "NP]j\*Q]PIv_JQKP(A| B) = P(A)AQBOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_n=JIAQBJD&YM5NEOHN^sLD&W&QH]PQHRT_~QOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_ÅQê]PIv_JQKQOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_n@ "NP]j\*Q¯]^Iv_JQKA B1A B2FHGHQHkHNPRn JIz]PIv_JQKQOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_B1 B2 = ∅AB 1 ∪ B2s ®<th± Ù w Úªv²[«ª« x Úy¥ztÚÙ9zt®+®u«jÝtÞª®Ùr®v¤Ú&Ù9z*³yÙPÚܲWzt®Hà¾x%ÄSxax @ [ .Á¦D&]P]PRaDJGHQHW.D&N^J]K5m*W&bYHG=DJOHIN[FHItm*vG=D&]P_-W.D&OHQHN[FHG=D&WQ\*lOHIdQm*NtD\*lOHIdRTIOHN^J_-IYDsLDJlHn:kJI]PIv_JQKW`FHNPGHWIRÀFHItm*vG=D&]P_-W.Do[&ÖHO QHQ`W_-F=Dm*N^JqU^NPGHv QWIW&JIGHIRFHILm*v&G=AD&]P_-=W.D&{OHQHQW_-F=Dm*N^J)GHN^pN^J.YD} B = {}KHW\=KHf[J]rKuOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_-RTQÁaCE -¤v_-kHOHIHnOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRTI]^Jl]PIv_JQHdqm*IYDst_-W.D&N^J]rKOHNPFHI]PGHNjmHo]^JWNPOHOHIdFHGHIWNPGHYIduG=D&WNPOH]^JW.D+ @ j=¨mD&OHOHIR¨]j\=bk=D&NXQHRTNPNPRom UPGP(AB) = P({ }) =¾x%ÄSxax @ @ =b.]^Jl1 11= · = P(A)P(B).42 2Ω = {(ω1 , ω2 )| ω1 , ω2 ∈ [0, 1]}.b]^JlA = {(ω1 , ω2 )| 0 ≤ ω1 ≤ 1, 0 < a ≤ ω2 ≤ 1},B = {(ω1 , ω2 )| 0 < b ≤ ω1 ≤ 1, 0 ≤ ω2 ≤ 1},C = {(ω1 , ω2 )| ω2 ≤ (ω1 − b)/(1 − b), ω1 , ω2 ∈ [0, 1]}BT [ ]PR-GHQH]& @ j.ÁD&]P]PRaDJGHQHW.D&N^J]K9UPNPIRTN^JGHQHkHNP]tYDK9WNPGHILKJOHI]^JlX]PIv_JQHd) j btm=bJ\*Q']PIv_JQKQOHN^sLD&WQH]PQHRT_-RTQ*wX bLm=bJ\*Q"]PIv_JQKQOHNjsLD&WQoA BA C]PQHRT_-RTQ*wÁaC -zGHIWNPGHQHR G=D&WNPOH]^JWI @ Wω2IvIQV]j\=bk=DKV.RTNPNPR1nLJINP]^Jl Q P(AB){OHN^sL=D&W(1−a)(1−b)QH]PQHRT_ÄD\*NP=Nnom P(A)P(B)A BP(AC) = (1 − b)(1 − a)2 /2 6= (1 − a) · (1 − b)/2 =¦D&YHQHR¯IvG=DstIR-n]9FHIRTI&ilf}G=D&WN^OoP(A)P(C)a]^JW.Dê @ 5RT_¼FHIYDsLD\*QI&J]^bJ]^J.WQHNqOHN^sLD&WQH]PQoRTI]^JQQ A CdÏ »¼±ºW¾ £7'Q¤(E-Á*Ä=EHE¦A!ÃaCE"'UC5 -@\ @ 'M@)|0U ^~/ $06"/ '<$&^ % B1 ,≤.