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From 1648 until 1848
Subperiod N 8.
From 1848 until 1914
Stage 9-1.
From 1914 until 1919
Stage 9-2.
From 1919 until 1938
Stage 9-3.
From 1938 until 1945
Stage 9-4.
From 1945 until 1968
Stage 9-5.
From 1968 until 1980-s
Subperiod N 10.
From 1980-s and for some future
Hungarian region
Stage 1-1.
As from ancient times up until mid VI century AD
Stage 1-2.
From mid VI century until late VIII century
Subperiod N 2.
From late VIII century until early XI century
Subperiod N 3.
From early XI century until 1241
Subperiod N 4.
From 1241 until 1380-s
Subperiod N 5.
From 1380-s until 1541
Subperiod N 6.
From 1541 until late XVII century
Subperiod N 7.
From late XVII century until late XVIII century
Subperiod N 8.
From late XVIII century until 1830
Subperiod N 9.
From 1830 until 1917
Stage 9-2.
From 1848 until 1867
Stage 9-3.
From 1867 until 1914
Stage 9-4.
From 1914 until 1918
Subperiod N 10.
From 1918 until late 1980-s
Stage 10-1.
From 1918 until 1920
Stage 10-2.
From 1920 until 1939
Stage 10-3.
From 1939 until 1945
Stage 10-4.
From 1945 until 1980-s
Subperiod N 11.
From late 1980-s and for some future
Romanian - Bulgarian - Moldavian region
Subperiod N 1.
As from ancient times up until AD
Subperiod N 2.
AD until 370-s
Subperiod N 3.
From 370-s until late VII century
Subperiod N 4.
From late VII century until late X century
Subperiod N 5.
From late X century until late XIV century
Subperiod N 6.
From late XIV century until 1480-s
Subperiod N 7.
From 1480-s until 1774
Subperiod N 8.
From mid 1770-s until 1878
Subperiod N 9.
From 1878 until early XX century
Stage 10-1.
From 1908 until 1914
Stage 10-2.
From 1914 until 1918
Stage 10-3.
From 1918 until 1940
Stage 10-4.
From 1940 until 1945
Stage 10-5.
From 1945 until late 1980-s
Subperiod N 11.
From late 1980-s and for some future
Balkan region
Subperiod N 1.
As from ancient times up until mid II century BC
Subperiod N 2.
From II century BC until 370-s AD
Subperiod N 3.
From 370-s until early IX century
Subperiod N 4.
From early IX century until late XII century
Subperiod N 5.
From late XII century until late XIV century
Subperiod N 6.
From late XIV century until late XVII century
Subperiod N 7.
From late XVII century until 1870-s
Subperiod N 8.
From 1870-s until early XX century
Stage 9-1.
From 1908 until 1913
Stage 9-2.
From 1914 until 1918
Stage 9-3.
From 1918 until 1939
Stage 9-4.
From 1939 until 1945
Stage 9-5.
From 1945 until 1980-s
Subperiod N 10.
From late 1980-s and for some futur
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3. One of the most essential points here is existence of clear correlation in evolution of the European external buffer zone and Asia Minor as external buffer zone. No detailed description of all these correlations here - only combined general tables.
CHRONOLOGY OF EVOLUTION:
EUROPEAN EXTERNAL BUFFER ZONE
|
Cycle |
Subperiod |
Dates | Duration of a subperiod (years) | Average duration of subperiods within a cycle (years) | Duration of a cycle (years) |
| Cycle #1 | 1 (1.1) | From ancient times until 113 BC | Indefinite | Around 218 years (without 1st subperiod) | As far as it's known, around 650 years |
| 2 (1.2) | From 113 BC until 110 AD | 223 | |||
| 3 (1.3) | From 110 until 380-s | 270 | |||
| 4 (1.4) | From 380-s until mid VI century | Around 160 | |||
| Cycle #2 | 5 (2.1) | From mid VI century until mid VIII century | 200 | Around 207 years | Around 830 years |
| 6 (2.2) | From mid VIII century until late X century | 230 | |||
| 7 (2.3) | From late X century until 1241 | 260 | |||
| 8 (2.4) | From 1241 until 1380 | 139 | |||
| Cycle #3 | 9 (3.1) | From 1380 until 1570-s | 190 | Around 113 years | Around 450 years |
| 10 (3.2) | From 1570-s until 1700 | 130 | |||
| 11 (3.3) | From 1700 until 1772 | 72 | |||
| 12 (3.4) | From 1772 until 1831 | 59 | |||
| Cycle #4 | 13 (4.1) | From 1832 until 1870 | 38 | Around 39 years | Around 156 years |
| 14 (4.2) | From 1871 until 1917 | 46 | |||
| 15 (4.3) | From 1917 until 1945 | 28 | |||
| 16 (4.4) | From 1945 until late 1980-s | 44 | |||
| Cycle #5 | 17 (5.1) | Is still going on currently | - | Current cycle | Current cycle |
| 18 19 20 | Prognosis | - | |||
| Described duration of the buffer zone evolution - around 2100 years | |||||
CHRONOLOGY OF EVOLUTION:
ASIA MINOR AS EXTERNAL BUFFER ZONE
|
Cycle |
Subperiod |
Dates | Duration of a subperiod (years) | Average duration of subperiods within a cycle (years) | Duration of a cycle (years) |
| Cycle #1 | 1 (1.1) | From ancient times until VIII century BC | Indefinite | Around 303 years (without 1st subperiod) | As far as it's known, around 910 year |
| 2 (1.2) | From VIII century BC until 327 BC | 473 | |||
| 3 (1.3) | From 327 until 180 BC | 147 | |||
| 4 (1.4) | From 180 BC until 110 AD | 290 | |||
| Cycle #2 | 5 (2.1) | From 110 AD until 380 | 270 | Around 228 years | Around 910 years |
| 6 (2.2) | From 380 until 610 | 230 | |||
| 7 (2.3) | From 610 until 870-s | 260 | |||
| 8 (2.4) | From 870-s until early XI century | Around 150 | |||
| Cycle #3 | 9 (3.1) | From early XI century until late XIII century | 260 | Around 187 years | Around 750 years |
| 10 (3.2) | From late XIII century until 1453 | Around 170 | |||
| 11 (3.3) | From 1453 until 1680-s | 227 | |||
| 12 (3.4) | From 1680-s until 1770-s | Around 90 | |||
| Cycle #4 | 13 (4.1) | From 1770-s until 1856 | 86 | Current cycle. As per three completed subperiods - 70 years | Current cycle. As per three completed subperiods - around 210 years |
| 14 (4.2) | From 1856 until 1908 | 52 | |||
| 15 (4.3) | From 1908 until 1980-s | 72 | |||
| 16 (4.4) | From 1980-s and for some future - is still going on currently | - | |||
| Cycle #5 | 17 (5.1) 18 (5.2) 19 (5.3) 20 (5.4) | Prognosis | - | - | - |
| Described duration of the buffer zone evolution - around 2800 years | |||||
4. Socio-cultural methodology is completely applicable to the analysis of the Russian Empire - USSR - CIS (or Russian SCS, according to our terminology) space evolution. We suggest our own version of the socio-cultural zonation of the Russian SCS's space: by the late XX century, there are 20 (twenty) socio-cultural regions and 8 (eight) enclaves. Below is the periodization of the Russian SCS's socio-cultural regions (Russian enclaves' periodization is given in the Tatiana Nikolaenko papers; for definitions see Appendix 1).
SOCIO-CULTURAL EVOLUTION OF THE REGIONS
WITHIN RUSSIAN SCS: SUBPERIODS
I. Central Russian region
Number of cycles - 1
Number of subperiods - 10:
1. From ancient times up until VIII century AD
2. From VIII century until mid XI century
3. From mid XI until early XIII century
4. From early XIII century until 1380-s
5. From 1380-s until 1470-s
6. From 1470-s until 1572
7. From 1572 to 1690-s
8. From 1690-s to 1917
9. From 1917 to 1991
10. From 1991 and for some future
II. Pskov - Novgorod - Petersburg region
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