Диссертация (1137862), страница 21

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Результаты непараметрического U-тест Манна-Уитни.«зарождение»_«рост»Asymp.Sig. (2tailed)«рост»_«зрелость»,000DividendPerShareCashFlowtoSales,178EPSROA_perROE_perROE_per,844ROC_perFinStab,000FLAccRtoRev,083AccRtoRevCashtoRevLTDtoTA,000AccPtoRev,000,000,009CashtoRev,979,000LTDtoTALTDtoTA,000,005LnSales148,011,000,001AccPtoRevCashtoRevFL,556,056AccPtoRev,132,000,142AccRtoRev,000ROCE_perFinStab,785,000,000ROCE_perFinStab,019,000ROC_perROCE_per,000,000,000LnSalesIncomeTaxRate_perROA_per,000,000,000,000,000ROC_perEPS,085,000ROE_per,950CashRatio,000IncomeTaxRate_perROA_per,071AssetTurnover,929,000FLCashFlowtoSalesCashRatioIncomeTaxRate_per,000,000AssetTurnover,000,657,000,016CashRatio,812CurrentRatioCurrentRatioAssetTurnover,000,013,000Asymp.Sig.

(2tailed)QuickRatioQuickRatioCashFlowtoSales«спад»,011,000CurrentRatio_DividendPerShareDividendPerShareQuickRatio«зрелость»,000,376EPSAsymp.Sig. (2tailed),000LnSalesПриложение 5. Результаты рангового метода корреляции Спирмена.DividendPerShareDividendPerShareQuickRatioCurrentRatioCashFlowtoSalesAssetTurnoverCashRatioEPSIncomeTaxRate_perROA_perROE_perROC_perROCE_perFLFinStab1,043**1CurrentRatiо-0,017,870**1CashFlowtoSales,381**,049**-,058**1AssetTurnover-0,006-,081**-,027*-,251**1,049**,648**,600**,105**-,182**1EPS,447**,085**,113**,313**,168****1IncomeTaxRate_per,140**-0,027-0,009,147**,211**-,068**,288**1ROA_per,357**,176**,195**,346**,342**,087**,729**,250**1ROE_per,294**0,028-0,005,224**,285**-0,012,583**,163**,770**1ROC_per,314******,260**,322***,660**,214**,890****1ROCE_per,283**,090**,078**,220**,312**0,02,606**,097**,852**,854**,950**1FL,147**-,294**-,288**,152**-0,021-,177**,075**,072**-,036**0,006-,097**-,048**1************-0,01**********QuickRatioCashRatioFinStab,105,119-,325AccRtoRev,094-,325AccPtoRev,132CashtoRevLTDtoTAAccRtoRev1AccPtoRev,376**1CashtoRev,076**-,108**1LTDtoTA-,045**-0,028,080**-,069LnSales1149,051,032-,192CapextoSale0,005ShEquitytoTASTDtoTA-,094,868,056TDtoshEquity-,136-,068LTDtoshEquity,8321AccRtoRevAccPtoRevCashtoRevLTDtoTALnSalesCapextoSaleShEquitytoTASTDtoTATDtoshEquity-,128**0,001-,070**,131**1-,043***,169**,333**,063**1ShEquitytoTA-,044**,151**-,430**-,091****1STDtoTA-0,0420,012-0,043-0,02-0,0340,042-0,0221TDtoshEquity-,072**0,005-,068**,669**,167**,204**-,572**0,0461LTDtoshEquity-,042**-0,014,056**,873**,160**,321**-,421**-0,047,819**LnSalesCapextoSale,031-,235**150,086LTDtoshEquity1Приложение 6.

Данные о качестве моделей.Стадии зарождение – рост:Model SummarybStepCox & Snell RNagelkerke RSquareSquare-2 Log likelihood21,996a1,582,931Classification Tablea,bPredictedintr_growthObservedStep 1intr_growth,001,00Percentage Correct,00390100,01,00116299,4Overall Percentage99,5Variables in the EquationbBStep1aCashFlowtoSalesConstantS.E.WalddfSig.Exp(B)114,70931,42413,3251,0006,572E49,655,5721,3111,2521,925Model if Term Removeda,bVariableStep 1Model LogChange in -2 LogLikelihoodLikelihoodCashFlowtoSales-128,010df234,025Sig.

of the Change1Стадии рост - зрелость:Selected Casesbgrowth_matureObserved0growth_matureStep 1PercentageCorrect10727349,713920183,8Overall PercentageStep 2growth_mature70,90727349,713920183,8151,000Overall Percentagegrowth_matureStep 370,9071744913720384,6Overall Percentagegrowth_matureStep 471,2071744913820284,2Overall Percentagegrowth_matureStep 570,90687746,9136204850707548,313520585,4Overall Percentagegrowth_matureStep 670,6Overall Percentage71,4Model SummarybStep-2 Log likelihoodCox & Snell RNagelkerke RSquareSquare1430,728a,186,2542430,730a,186,2543432,201a,183,2494432,766a,182,2485433,514a,180,2466435,507a,176,240Omnibus Tests of Model CoefficientsbChi-squareStep 1Step 2aStep 3aStep 4adfSig.Step79,31011,000Block79,31011,000Model79,31011,000-,0021,962Block79,30810,000Model79,30810,000Step-1,4701,225Block77,8379,000Model77,8379,000-,5651,45277,2728,000StepStepBlock152ModelStep 5aStep 6a77,2728,000-,7481,387Block76,5247,000Model76,5247,000Step-1,9931,158Block74,5316,000Model74,5316,000StepVariables in the EquationbBStep 1adfSig.Exp(B)-,004,081,0021,962,996AssetTurnover1,508,33520,2051,0004,518ROE_per,524,3791,9151,1661,689LTDtoTA-1,946,9903,8631,049,143LnSales,112,0485,3751,0201,118CapextoSale,000,000,0371,8471,000-10,4043,04111,7081,001,000CashFlowtoSales3,0611,0688,2171,00421,350DividendPerShare,003,006,2031,6521,003-,005,005,9021,342,995-1,582,9192,9621,085,206Constant-,951,8491,2531,263,386AssetTurnover1,509,33520,3051,0004,522ROE_per,523,3781,9121,1671,687LTDtoTA-1,953,9803,9751,046,142LnSales,112,0465,8271,0161,119CapextoSale,000,000,0371,8471,000-10,4033,04111,7011,001,000CashFlowtoSales3,0671,0628,3461,00421,472DividendPerShare,003,006,2021,6531,003-,005,005,9101,340,995-1,601,8273,7481,053,202Constant-,956,8441,2841,257,385AssetTurnover1,497,33520,0111,0004,470ROE_per,528,3801,9321,1651,695LTDtoTA-1,978,9804,0711,044,138AccPtoRevShEquitytoTASTDtoTAAccPtoRevShEquitytoTAStep 3aWaldCurrentRatioSTDtoTAStep 2aS.E.153LnSales,103,0465,0921,0241,109-10,4863,04111,8911,001,000CashFlowtoSales3,0881,0678,3681,00421,928DividendPerShare,004,007,3051,5811,004-,005,005,8691,351,995-1,643,8283,9431,047,193Constant-,859,8411,0421,307,424AssetTurnover1,514,33620,3461,0004,546ROE_per,526,3811,9081,1671,692LTDtoTA-1,992,9814,1241,042,136,111,0446,2161,0131,117-10,4673,04511,8121,001,000CashFlowtoSales3,1291,0778,4431,00422,860AccPtoRev-,005,005,7461,388,995-1,627,8283,8631,049,197Constant-,938,8351,2611,261,391AssetTurnover1,535,33720,8081,0004,642,520,3901,7771,1821,682-1,804,9493,6151,057,165,107,0445,9331,0151,113-10,7363,05012,3911,000,0003,0061,0947,5581,00620,213ShEquitytoTA-1,452,7973,3231,068,234Constant-1,178,7852,2521,133,3081,633,33423,9231,0005,119-1,762,9443,4851,062,172,112,0446,4601,0111,119-10,4253,00612,0311,001,0003,0921,1247,5701,00622,013ShEquitytoTA-1,582,7894,0141,045,206Constant-1,192,7872,2941,130,304STDtoTAAccPtoRevShEquitytoTAStep 4aLnSalesSTDtoTAShEquitytoTAStep 5aROELTDtoTALnSalesSTDtoTACashFlowtoSalesStep 6aAssetTurnoverLTDtoTALnSalesSTDtoTACashFlowtoSales154Стадии зрелость - спад:Omnibus Tests of Model CoefficientsbChi-squareStep 1Step 2aStep 3aStep 4aStep 5aStep 6adfSig.Step123,9998,000Block123,9998,000Model123,9998,000,0001,999Block123,9997,000Model123,9997,000,00011,000Block123,9996,000Model123,9996,000,0001,998Block123,9995,000Model123,9995,000,00011,000Block123,9994,000Model123,9994,000,0001,996Block123,9993,000Model123,9993,000StepStepStepStepStepModel SummarybStep-2 Log likelihoodCox & Snell RNagelkerke RSquareSquare1,000a,1961,0002,000a,1961,0003,000a,1961,0004,000a,1961,0005,000a,1961,0006,000a,1961,000155Classification Tablea,bPredictedmature_declObservedStep 1mature_decl,00,001,00Percentage Correct5570100,0013100,01,00Overall PercentageStep 2mature_decl100,0,005570100,0013100,01,00Overall PercentageStep 3mature_decl100,0,005570100,0013100,01,00Overall PercentageStep 4mature_decl100,0,005570100,0013100,01,00Overall PercentageStep 5mature_decl100,0,005570100,0013100,01,00Overall PercentageStep 6mature_decl100,0,005570100,0013100,01,00Overall Percentage100,0Variables in the EquationbBStep 1aDividendPerShareWalddfSig.Exp(B)-,03813,450,0001,998,963-1171,08816839,572,0051,945,000-8,569221,024,0021,969,000AccRtoRev-,1799,729,0001,985,836AccPtoRev,23819,938,0001,9901,2692,635157,890,0001,98713,948,001,100,0001,9931,0017,7922731,825,0001,998 2421,955-35,8792897,167,0001,990,000-,03013,837,0001,998,971CashFlowtoSalesIncomeTaxRate_perLnSalesCapextoSaleShEquitytoTAConstantStep 2aS.E.DividendPerShare156CashFlowtoSales-1178,84316878,022,0051,944,000-8,418210,907,0021,968,000AccRtoRev-,1516,508,0011,982,860AccPtoRev,20112,634,0001,9871,2222,490158,587,0001,98712,061,001,100,0001,9931,001-30,9722136,484,0001,988,000-,03013,776,0001,998,971-1178,56816860,011,0051,944,000-8,416210,577,0021,968,000AccRtoRev-,1516,498,0011,981,860AccPtoRev,20112,618,0001,9871,2222,489158,543,0001,98712,047-30,9572135,665,0001,988,000-,03915,377,0001,998,962-1307,58617689,667,0051,941,000-8,884217,324,0021,967,000AccRtoRev-,1299,847,0001,990,879AccPtoRev,15721,752,0001,9941,170-5,8712700,621,0001,998,003-1305,97917241,086,0061,940,000-9,310188,637,0021,961,000AccRtoRev-,0984,805,0001,984,907AccPtoRev,2307,889,0011,9771,258-15,141874,015,0001,986,000-1528,18918038,068,0071,932,000AccRtoRev-,0764,855,0001,987,926AccPtoRev,1874,846,0011,9691,206-15,373405,577,0011,970,000IncomeTaxRate_perLnSalesCapextoSaleConstantStep 3aDividendPerShareCashFlowtoSalesIncomeTaxRate_perLnSalesConstantStep 4aDividendPerShareCashFlowtoSalesIncomeTaxRate_perConstantStep 5aCashFlowtoSalesIncomeTaxRate_perConstantStep 6aCashFlowtoSalesConstant157Приложение 7.

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