Диссертация (1137854), страница 3

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http://www.raexpert.ru/ratings/regions/concept104.,(Yakovlev, Zhuravskaya, 2008)«»,.,,,,.,,,.,.(.2),,,.,,,–,BEEPS,..1052.2008-9.;Э106:3.2 А,2,.(,, 2014).2009;,,.79.,,,.2002-2010.3.2.1,(, 2009).,_.2009 .,,(–).,,2009 .1.2002 ..(_),107.,()._,,.,.,,,.,,-.,,(.,,Szakoniy, Nazrullaeva, 2012).,,,,,(GОСХЛКМС, SШЧТЧ, ГСЮrКЯsФКвК, 2010).:,,,.,(Campante et al., 2011).(;).(. Vasilyeva, Nye, 2013)..,,108_,.,,– ,;– ,,.,.

.,.17,.,,(«0»)18(– «1»).,.Vasilyeva, Nye, 2013).(.,.,–.-..,.,1718.,,, http://www.transparency.org.ru/deklaratcii/blog,,.109,,,.,,.(Buckley et al., 2012),,,.(GehХЛКМС, SШЧТЧ, ГСЮrКЯsФКвК, 2010),,.,,,,,,,«».,,,,,.ГСЮrКЯsФКвК,(GОСХЛКМС, SШЧТЧ,2010),.,,,(),,,,.,,,;,,.,(«»,. MОСХЮЦ, MШОЧО, TШrЯТФ, 2006).,110(.,2006; PШХТsСМСЮФ, 2013).,.,,,.,34.111.. FrвО,3.ИИ(ТЧЯ_МlТЦ, ТЧЯ_МlТЦ_2002)(И~ 0,.о2008–2009.2001-2002: http://www.raexpert.ru/ratings/regions/. ~ 1); И(ТЧЯ_rТsФ)2008–2009. ~ 1); И(totКl_Лus).(~ 0,..: http://www.raexpert.ru/ratings/regions/,20032010.; И:(NвО, VКsТlвОЯК, 2012)(suЦ_turЧ)20032010.; И:(Nye, Vasilyeva, 2012)(l_popul)2009(ОНu_СТРСОr),2003(РТЧТ);И;И: http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b10_14p/Main.htm,: www.perepis2002.ru(http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b10_14p/Main.htm)(l_ТЧМoЦО)2009;2009;И:И:И:http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b10_14p/Main.htmИ(rОpuЛlТМ),«1»,, «0» 2009(extraction);http://www.gks.ru/bgd/regl/b10_14p/Main.htm(sЦКll_Лus)2009(~ 0,..

~ 1); И(ЯotО_КЯОr)И: http://nisse.ru/work/projects/monitorings/raiting/2003,1122008,.; И: http://www.cikrf.ru/4.ИИИ797979-1,89-1,240,002,352,848,000,02-0,071,480,980,792,59797979790,0011,000,338,763,0016,000,5210,640,8414,060,399,520,650,920,030,3279790,000,001,0056,000,247,110,4311,89790,110,360,170,047966-2,430,412,770,85-,070,580,960,071133.2.2 Э(.,,),,..(OLS)..,,,,,.:=–),–,-+++sЮЦИЭЮrЧ-+ ,(3.1)(,––_.,..:=++∗+,,++ .(3.2),.114> ,,,(_,9)_=.+:+∗+++,+ .(3.3),.,, . .(IЦЛОЧs, АШШХНrТНРО, 2009).,(AМСОЧ, 2001).(3.3)(3.2).5(3.1).,.;-,-–.«..115»,,,,.,–.«»,.,«-».1165.inv_clim-0,021[0,03]-0,143[0,18]0,642***[0,13]0,552[0,34]total_bussum_turnl_popull_incomehigher_eduinv_clim-0,025[0,03]-0,155[0,19]0,672***[0,15]0,682[0,39]-3,000[3,58]inv_clim-0,025[0,05]-0,0751[0,19]0,646***[0,12]0,217[0,42]-0,0418[2,64]0,333**[0,16]-0,00501[0,01]0,446[1,236]0,0781[0,10]660,330republicextractionvote_aversmall_bus790,418.

R-790,420.:*-10%-inv_risk0,047**[0,02]0,0419[0,10]-0,414***[0,11]0,563*[0,32]small_bus-0,012[0,06]-0,0952[0,19]0,230**[0,11]-0,208[0,46]-0,183*[0,10]0,00455[0,01]0,256[0,93]-0,248[0,20]-0,0103[0,01]-1,572[1,40]660,359660,045., ** -5%-, *** -1171%-(3.2) –56..,,..,,-–,,«–»«»–.-–.,__.,,.,,«».,,.,(added variable plots)2–118_,_,,«6 (4).119»(3.120)6.total_bussum_turnsum_turn * total_busl_popul(1)inv_clim(2)inv_clim(3)inv_clim(4)inv_clim(5)inv_clim(6)inv_clim(7)inv_risk(8)small_bus-0,194***[0,04]-0,469**[0,16]0,183***[0,04]0,693***[0,12]-0,207***[0,05]-0,452**[0,19]0,182***[0,04]0,687***[0,11]0,645[0,43]-3,004[2,42]0,508[4,58]-0,218***[0,05]-0,464**[0,19]0,192***[0,04]0,686***[0,11]0,986*[0,54]-4,519*[2,68]0,196[5,08]-0,0119[0,01]0,0602[0,24]-0,215***[0,05]-0,435**[0,19]0,189***[0,04]0,634***[0,11]0,910***[0,31]-4,016*[2,24]-0,208***[0,05]-0,391*[0,20]0,176***[0,04]0,682***[0,114]0,074[0,32]-0,176***[0,05]-0,437**[0,18]0,161***[0,04]0,557***[0,10]0,927***[0,10]-6,266**[2,39]0,0925**[0,04]0,186[0,13]-0,068**[0,03]-0,416***[0,11]0,186[0,30]-0,001[0,07]-0,153[0,23]-0,009[0,06]0,369***[0,10]-0,060[0,37]l_incomehigher_eduginiextractionrepublic-0,010[0,01]0,132[0,10]small_busvote_aver-0,008[0,01]0,116[0,11]0,708[1,06]inv_clim_2002790,470.

R-790,491790,490790,512660,4520,140[0,10]-0,228**[0,11]0,254**[0,10]780,566790,377.:*-10%-, ** -5%-, *** 1211%-790,083,,–,«»,8,6 (� ., ̂=− ,= ,-,[∗ ̂ > − ̂] .__()_,,., ̂=, ̂=− ,,).,-[_,∗ ̂ > − ̂].,,,,.,1.«»(,, 2013).(3.2)–(7),.,,,.,(8),,«».(3.3)6,(3.2).1226.,,,.3.2.3,,.-,.,,-.,-2002-2010.,2009 .facto, ex postipso facto,,(,66).,-,,–2002 .-,.,,,,.,,.,,,,123,,,,,.3.3 А,.,,.,,(PШХТsСМСЮФ, SвЮЧвКОЯ, 2015).,,,,..,,(,)(Persson, Tabellini, 2003).,.,(АТЭЭЦКЧ, 1995):(LТггОrТ, PОrsТМШ, 2005),(BОsХОв ОЭ КХ., 2010),.,124,,,.3.3.1,.20001112009.,.-.7,-8,,,.7.972Property rights(Judicial Independence)(Property RightsProtection)Global Competitiveness Report,Economic Freedom of theWorld (Gwartney, Lawson, Hall, 2012; Schwab, Sala-iMartin, 2011).-Turnover,stabns(Beck et al.

2001).Non-democracy score(10–democracy,20,Database of Political Institutions962score),score920«1»767democracy, democ,Polity IV Project (Marshall, Jaggers, Gurr 2011).,Inequality,0,410.«0» .StandardizedWorld Income Inequality Database (Solt 2009).845Chief executive tenure125.DОЦШМrКМв КЧН DТМЭКЭШrsСТp rОЯТsТЭОН(Cheibub, Gandhi, Vreeland 2010).ln(GDP), ln(Population),Schoolenrollment,Naturalresources,Country and year FE(,,952, 952, 851,941, 972, 972,)Development Indicators database.World8...Property rights97201,36-3,092,56Turnover9620,140,0800,36Non-democracy score9202,773,230101(Inequality>0,4)9080,390,4901School enrollment861104,8210,6863,53154,15ln(Population)9629,491,625,6114,10ln(GDP)9629,071,255,6011,29Natural resources9416,6011,43063,953.1, Property rights,.–,.

(BОsХОв,GСКЭКФ, 2010),,,(AМОЦШРХЮ ОЭ КХ., 2001),. (CКrЦТРЧКЧТ, 2009)(BОМФ ОЭ КХ., 2001).Database of Political Institutions (KООПОr, 2010),126.-,(TsОЛОХТs, 2002),.,-,/.,(CКЦpКЧЭО ОЭ КХ., 2009).,-,.,-,.,«».,,19802009.stabnsDatabase of Political Institutions (Keefer, 2010).:1.,;,2.,-;,3.,.–127-.,,,.,--,,.20-,.-,stabns,(CКЦpКЧЭО ОЭ КХ., 2009):,20.Turnover,«».,.(,.,, BОsХОв, GСКЭКФ, 2010; Glaeser et al., 2004,,Acemoglu et al., 2001),.,.,(-,19802009),2,,,.,durable,«»,Polity IV (Marshall, Jaggers, 2011).(128.,, Justesen, 2012; Chang,(Sanhueza, 1999)Golden, 2010; Clague et al., 1996)...,-,.,–,,.,,durable,.(,).,,,..-().,,,,.,,(.,, LОТРС, 2007; Atkinson ОЭ КХ., 2011).(Leigh, 2007),2010%1291%.,,,.,(.,, KООПОr, KЧКМФ, 2002).,,.«1»,(,),.«0».,.,().,,(,).,,.,Standardized World Income Inequality Database (SWIID),(Solt, 2009)., World Income Inequality Database (UNU-АIDER, 2008),(.Inequality Database,, LIS, 2008)World IncomeStandardized World Income Inequality Database,,130.(LОТРС, 2007; Atkinson et al., 2011),.,,,,.,,.

.,.,,,.,,,(,)(2008).,.,, NТМСЭОr,,,,,.«.»,,(institutionalized democracy), democ,Polity IV (Marshall, Jaggers, 2011).,.(«0» ()«10»).democ,Non-democracy score =score.–Non-democracy,(131, Non-democracy score =).,,,.,,Non-democracy score9,,Turnover(− ,(,)..7),,,,,.,.,,(,);,(. .»«,,(GХКeser et al., 2004);,(Spolaore, 2006,,);(«»,,(, RШЛТЧsШЧ ОЭ КХ., 2006; Mehlum et al., 2006).,,,(-132,.,),..133Property rightsTurnoverTurnover^21(gini>0,4)Non-democracy scoreNon-democracy score * TurnoverSchool Enrollmentln(Population)ln(GDP)Natural resources:*–1-0,1165*-0,1113*-0,3997*-0,3317*-0,4506*-0,1255*-0,2124*0,6870*-0,2341*10,9528*-0,0065-0,4195*0,2663*-0,02930,1022*0,0608-0,2419*1-0,0182-0,3271*0,2262*-0,01690,1141*0,0612-0,2042*10,2297*0,2434*0,2060*0,0723-0,3950*0,1178*1%-13410,5693*0,02260,0449-0,4822*0,4468*1-0,0972*0,1754*-0,5012*0,1323*10,05550,0863*-0,03711-0,2099*0,0001ln(GDP)ln(Population)School EnrollmentNon-democracy score *TurnoverNon-democracy score1(gini>0,4)Turnover^2TurnoverProperty rights9.1-0,0774*3.3.2,...:Property rights � = const +14Turnover � +Controls � +�.(3.4)(3.4).,.,().Property rights �= const ++Turnover � +Controls � +�.Turnover(3.5)�(3.5),.2-4,10,Turnover,.,5-610.(3.4)135Turnover,4∗ Turnover −∗ Turnover,10)..,(.5,:()..(3.4),(3.5):,.,,.,,,.,,(Non-democracy score).10.TurnoverTurnover^20,469[0,76]Зави и ая е5,392*** 4,345***[1,58][1,41]-15,50*** -13,15***[4,01][3,74]ln(GDP)School enrollment-0,001е е ая: property rights4,226***2,658***[1,35][0,80]-13,51***[3,43]1,097***1,121***[0,315][0,33]-0,0008-0,005136-1,448*[0,78]1,072**[0,52]0,004[0,00]0,351[0,58]-0,003[0,00]8401020,465ln(Population)Natural resourcesЧВ9621100,429.

R-9621100,446:*-[0,00]1,062[0,655]-0,006[0,00]8401020,48810%-[0,00]1,156[0,76]-0,0003[0,01]410530,473, ** -[0,01]1,531[1,20]-0,011*[0,01]430490,5065%-, ***1%--Non-democracy scorNon-democracy scor.:(3.4)Property rights �= const +Turnover � ++ � Interaction � +Non-democracy score �Controls � +(3.6)�.11.,Turnover Property rights–Non-democracy score(1-6,11)..(2, 4, 6,11).((3.6))6,Turnover �,+ � Non-democracy score � )11 ()..Non-democracy score ,137,,,Non-democracy score .,,(Non-democracy scoreTurnover;9).,8.11,,.11.TurnoverNon-democracy score0,627[0,79]-0,020[0,021]Non-democracy score* TurnoverSchool enrollment-0,744[0,89]-0,132**[0,06]0,570**[0,27]0,136[0,70]-0,063***[0,02]-0,001[0,00]0,646[0,58]-0,004[0,00]ln(Population)Natural_ esourcesln(GDP)В9201040,437.

R-:*-9201040,446802960,47110%-: property rights-0,699-0,0640[0,89][0,64]-0,141***-0,055**[0,05][0,02]0,398*[0,22]-0,002-0,001[0,00][0,00]0,6151,447**[0,56][0,63]-0,004-0,007[0,00][0,00]1,187***[0,29]80280296960,4750,499, ** -5%-1%,,,,.,(3.4)138-0,941[0,80]-0,136**[0,05]0,417*[0,21]-0,001[0,00]1,421**[0,62]-0,007*[0,00]1,196***[0,29]802960,503, ***,gini>TurnoverProperty rights,,.(–Non-democracy score );,,.(3.4),Non-democracy score .12.,,1,.(2),(3-4)..12.Non-democracy score >1(gini>40)=1TurnoverSchool enrollmentln(Population)ln(GDP)Natural resourcesЧВ. R-3,029***[0,93]-0,005*[0,00]0,511[1,36]0,778[0,53]-0,013[0,01]131230,548Non-democracy score <1(gini>40)=01(gini>40)=11(gini>40)=0Зави и ая е е е ая: property rights1,370-1,141-0,105[3,28][0,89][1,22]0,0080,0006-0,0002[0,01][0,01][0,01]3,622***1,080-0,162[1,10][1,61][1,88]1,140**1,790***0,391[0,45][0,49][0,56]-0,012-0,032***-0,002[0,01][0,01][0,01]1123901662244230,5820,4620,627139:*-10%-, ** -5%-, ***1%--.,«.Turnover,.

.»,,.((3.6)):Property rights �= const � + � Property rights++�−+Turnover �(3.7)Non-democracy score � + � Interaction �Controls�−+�.13.(,,Turnover, . .;Non-democracy score ,1,. .).,13(3.5).,Non-democracy score (2-3).,Non-democracy score(3.6),.(3.7)140Turnover ,4-8,(4).,13.,,,,.14113.AllProperty rights, t-1Turnover0,336***[0,04]3,728***[1,1]Non-democracyscore >0,237***[0,06]2,576**[0,98]Non-democracyscore <Non-democracy score * turnoverln(Population), t-1ln(GDP), t-1Natural resources, t-1Turnover^21(gini>40)=11(gini>40)=0Зави и ая е е е ая: property rights, t0,419***0,335***0,269***0,320***[0,04][0,04][0,08][0,05]-0,722-0,737-0,559-0,663[0,61][0,69][0,84][0,90]Non-democracy scoreSchool enrollment, t-1all1(gini>40)=11(gini>40)=00,271***[0,08]-0,745[0,84]0,359***[0,06]-0,081[1,03]-0,116**-0,210***-0,066-0,228***-0,065[0,05][0,05][0,08][0,03][0,08]0,356*0,678***0,1690,758***0,133[0,18][0,21][0,31][0,19][0,30]-0,008**[0,004]-0,321[0,82]-0,0004[0,000]0,719[0,85]-0,005*[0,003]1,388***[0,52]-0,005[0,003]1,035[0,89]-0,005[0,004]1,147[0,76]-0,005*[0,003]1,516***[0,54]-0,007**[0,003]-0,00784[0,86]-0,005[0,004]1,846**[0,90]0,819***0,2300,913***0,762***0,3450,920***[0,22][0,42][0,24][0,23][0,27][0,33]-0,002[0,00]-0,003[0,01]-0,001[0,01]-0,002[0,00]-0,003[0,01]-0,006[0,01]-0,003[0,01]0,0001[0,00]240400,585507670,617716930,597259390,695429580,528259390,695429580,516, ** -5%--11,09***[2,89]ЧВ747990,599.

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